Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Vacation Home Sales up in 2010

Vacation-Home Sales Up in 2009 but Investment Sales Down

Washington, March 31, 2010

(March 31, 2010) – Vacation-home sales recovered in 2009 while investment sales fell sharply, according to the National Association of Realtors®.


NAR’s 2010 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, covering existing- and new-home transactions in 2009, shows vacation-home sales rose 7.9 percent to 553,000 last year from 513,000 in 2008, while investment-home sales fell 15.9 percent to 940,000 in 2009 from 1.12 million in 2008. Primary residence sales rose 7.1 percent to 4.04 million in 2009 from 3.77 million in 2008.


NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said, “The typical vacation-home buyer is making a lifestyle choice, with nine out of 10 saying they intend to use the property for vacations or as a family retreat,” he said. “Investment buyers primarily seek rental income, with six in 10 planning to rent to others, although one in five wants a family member, friend or relative to use the home.”


Only one in four vacation-home buyers plan to rent their properties to others, while one in five investment buyers plan to use their homes for vacations or as a family retreat. However, 26 percent of vacation-home buyers and 8 percent of investment buyers intend to use the property as a primary residence in the future.


The market share of homes purchased for investment was 17 percent in 2009, down from 21 percent in 2008, while the vacation-home share rose a percentage point to 10 percent. The total share of second homes declined from 30 percent of sales in 2008 to 27 percent last year. “First-time buyers were at record levels in 2009 with fewer sales of second homes,” Yun said.


The median transaction price of a vacation home was $169,000 in 2009, compared with $150,000 in 2008. “The higher vacation home price may reflect increased sales in higher priced markets, particularly in areas of Florida and California where prices became highly attractive for buyers over the past year,” Yun said.


Half of vacation homes purchased last year were in the South, 21 percent in the West, 17 percent in the Midwest and 12 percent in the Northeast. Seven out of 10 were detached single-family homes.



The median investment property sold for $105,000 last year, down 2.8 percent from $108,000 in 2008. There were more investment sales in the West in 2009, consistent with reports in California of a high share of all-cash purchases, notably in lower price ranges.


The distribution of investment sales was fairly close to the distribution of population: 35 percent in the South, 25 percent in the West, 24 percent in the Midwest and 16 percent in the Northeast. There was a higher share of condos in investment sales: 27 percent of investment homes were condos vs. 21 percent of vacation homes.
Similar to 2008, cash factored strongly in the second-home market: three out of 10 vacation-home buyers in 2009 paid cash for their properties, while half of investment buyers paid cash. Fairly similar ratios for each group indicated portfolio diversification or good investment opportunities were factors in the purchase decision.


The typical vacation-home buyer in 2009 was 46 years old, had a median household income of $87,500, and purchased a property that was a median distance of 348 miles from their primary residence; 34 percent were within 100 miles and 40 percent were more than 500 miles.


Investment-home buyers last year had a median age of 45, earned $87,200, and bought a home that was relatively close to their primary residence – a median distance of 24 miles. Roughly one in four investment buyers purchased more than one property in 2009.


Three out of four second-home buyers were married couples.


Demographically, the long-term demand for second homes looks favorable because large numbers of people are in the prime years for buying a second home. “Historically, people become interested in buying a second home in their mid 40s,” Yun said. “The large number of people who are now in their 30s and 40s will dominate the second-home market in the coming decade with a strong underlying demand, although sales in a given year will vary depending on the economy. Mortgage lending for second homes was extraordinarily tight in 2009 but it is likely to ease a bit in 2010.”


Currently, 40.1 million people in the U.S. are ages 50-59 – a group that dominated sales in the first part of the past decade and established records for second-home sales. An additional 44.4 million people are now in the primary buying demographic of 40-49 years old, and another 40.6 million are 30-39.


Buyers were more likely to purchase investment homes within a metropolitan area, while vacation homes were generally located in a rural area, small town or resort.


Vacation-home buyers plan to keep their property for a median of 16 years while investment buyers plan to hold their property for a median of 12 years.



NAR’s analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data shows there are 7.9 million vacation homes and 41.1 million investment units in the U.S., compared with 75.0 million owner-occupied homes.


NAR’s 2010 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, conducted in March 2009, includes answers from 1,930 usable responses. The survey controlled for age and income, based on information from the larger 2009 NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, to limit any biases in the characteristics of respondents.


The 2010 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey can be ordered by calling 800-874-6500, or online at www.realtor.org/newresearch. The report is free for NAR members, but the cost is $125 for non-members.
The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.


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Information about NAR is available at www.realtor.org. This and other news releases are posted in the News Media section. Statistical data, tables and surveys also may be found by clicking on Research.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Investors are buying resort houses again

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Investors Are Buying Houses Again

Posted: 23 Mar 2010 07:40 AM PDT

Good news for the second-home market. What’s happening in your area?

More home buyers are snapping up properties with cash, a trend driven in large part by investors returning to the market after four years of falling prices around the country.

The share of home sales involving all-cash transactions was 26% in January, up from 18% a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors. The figures come from a survey of members about their most recent transactions. Many home buyers also are paying cash, but investors are largely using cash so they can avoid paying interest charges on loans and get a larger return on their investment.

Other NAR data also show a pickup in investment activity.

Home purchases made by buyers identified as investors climbed to 17% in January, up from 15% in December and 12% in November.

“We bottomed out in 2008, and in late 2009, prices stabilized and investors have returned,” says Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American CoreLogic. “It’s a different type of investor going after foreclosed properties and expecting to hold on for longer time frames.”

Many investors say they’re financing their purchases with cash on hand, rather than borrowing.

Evan Spinrod of San Francisco bought three rental properties in November and February and now owns 21 in four states. The rent he collects gives him an 8.5% annual return on his investment. Some of his homes are worth about $165,000. “I’m still looking,” Spinrod says. “You can’t build these houses for the prices they’re selling them. I’ve always seen that the real wealth was in real estate. People have been sitting on cash, and there’s no interest from the bank (to pay).”

Leonard Baron, a real estate professor at San Diego State University, has bought three homes with cash in the

San Diego area in the past eight months, ranging in price from $100,000 to $130,000. He rents the properties.

Baron says now is an ideal time to make such purchases. “It’s because prices have dropped so much and rents really haven’t,” he says. “The deals were unbelievable.”

Some Realtors also say they’re seeing increased investor activity.

“Flippers, rehabbers, investors … are, in fact, buying,” says Lisa Johnson, with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Haverhill, Mass. “I’m getting builders who have stopped building and are instead buying up condos and single-family homes to fix them up and sell them. It’s a neat change I haven’t seen in four years.”

All-cash purchases also reflect a growing number of investors buying higher-end properties without credit, says NAR spokesman Walter Molony. That’s a sign that some investors see real estate prices as having nowhere to

go but up. All-cash offers give buyers a competitive edge on rival offers – even higher ones – that are dependent on financing. Cash deals can close faster and are less likely to fall through.

“You have to have cash to be able to close quickly and have negotiating power. Cash is king,” says Tanya Marchiol, president of Phoenix-based Team Investments, which buys about 70 properties a month with cash it raises from investors. “We do want to flip it or generate cash flow (through renting it out). Now is the time to buy for cash flow. We know the market is going to rebound.”

Some investors say the current real estate market is an ideal time to buy because homes are so low priced, they are bound to hold their value.

That’s the philosophy of Jim McClelland of Tinley Park, 111.

He is buying about 120 to 150 entrylevel homes in the Chicago area this year and owns a total of about 300 properties.

He says now is a good time to buy because properties going into foreclosure are no longer just one-bedroom, fixer-uppers but nicer, split-level brick homes with more bedrooms that will probably appreciate to a higher value.

That’s because so many prime-rate borrowers who bought more expensive homes have gone into foreclosure.

He puts about $60,000 into upgrading a property, then rents it out.

“Do I think this year will be a better time to invest than in 2009? Yes,” McClelland says. “There have always been foreclosures. The difference now is you get a better home for the same kind of money. You’re sitting on better inventory. People get into real estate for financial independence. It’s not a quick fix. It appreciates. It doesn’t happen overnight.”

By Stephanie Armour USA TODAY

Beach Front Luxury Properties Hit Hardest in Downturn

ublished: 24th March 2010

Beach-front property hit hardest by global downturn
Beach-front property hit hardest by global downturn

Prices of coastal second homes were hit hardest by the global downturn in 2009, according to new data from Knight Frank.

In their annual Wealth Report published yesterday, Knight Frank reveal an uneven picture of house price performance both by geographical market and property type.

Overall, high-end residential house prices fell 5.5% in 2009 but prices in city centres rose by 0.4% while coastal second homes and ski property prices fell 13.9% and 12% respectively.
The divurgance is explained partly by the strong performance of a small number of city centre markets in the second half of 2009, most notably Shanghai (up 52%), Beijing (up up 47%) and Hong Kong (up 40.5%).


Super-rich buy up “cheap” property in capital cities



In the uncertain economic environment and with a supply of cheap credit, the super-rich have been flocking to buy super-prime property in capital cities. The trend was no doubt enhanced by the sharp drop in prices in 2008 which led to a perception that property was cheap by historical standards.

Indeed many of 2008’s worst performers, were the top performers of 2009. London moved from 53 to 9 in the rankings and Hong Kong moved from 55 to 3 for example.


Coastal properties could buck the trend in 2010 and 2011



The evidence suggests that there is merit in investing in good quality property in locations that have fallen the most in value. After all, markets tend to over-correct on the way up and under-shoot on the way down. In markets with strong demand and limited supply, price reversals can happen quite quickly as price falls result in construction projects being put on hold which puts upward pressure on prices.

Although holiday home markets tend be more fickle than city centres, don’t be surprised if some of holiday home destinations at the bottom of the list appear towards the top in next years figures. Now could be the time for your clients to invest.

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Good News for the Second Home Market

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Investors Are Buying Houses Again

Posted: 23 Mar 2010 07:40 AM PDT

Good news for the second-home market. What’s happening in your area?

More home buyers are snapping up properties with cash, a trend driven in large part by investors returning to the market after four years of falling prices around the country.

The share of home sales involving all-cash transactions was 26% in January, up from 18% a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors. The figures come from a survey of members about their most recent transactions. Many home buyers also are paying cash, but investors are largely using cash so they can avoid paying interest charges on loans and get a larger return on their investment.

Other NAR data also show a pickup in investment activity.

Home purchases made by buyers identified as investors climbed to 17% in January, up from 15% in December and 12% in November.

“We bottomed out in 2008, and in late 2009, prices stabilized and investors have returned,” says Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American CoreLogic. “It’s a different type of investor going after foreclosed properties and expecting to hold on for longer time frames.”

Many investors say they’re financing their purchases with cash on hand, rather than borrowing.

Evan Spinrod of San Francisco bought three rental properties in November and February and now owns 21 in four states. The rent he collects gives him an 8.5% annual return on his investment. Some of his homes are worth about $165,000. “I’m still looking,” Spinrod says. “You can’t build these houses for the prices they’re selling them. I’ve always seen that the real wealth was in real estate. People have been sitting on cash, and there’s no interest from the bank (to pay).”

Leonard Baron, a real estate professor at San Diego State University, has bought three homes with cash in the

San Diego area in the past eight months, ranging in price from $100,000 to $130,000. He rents the properties.

Baron says now is an ideal time to make such purchases. “It’s because prices have dropped so much and rents really haven’t,” he says. “The deals were unbelievable.”

Some Realtors also say they’re seeing increased investor activity.

“Flippers, rehabbers, investors … are, in fact, buying,” says Lisa Johnson, with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Haverhill, Mass. “I’m getting builders who have stopped building and are instead buying up condos and single-family homes to fix them up and sell them. It’s a neat change I haven’t seen in four years.”

All-cash purchases also reflect a growing number of investors buying higher-end properties without credit, says NAR spokesman Walter Molony. That’s a sign that some investors see real estate prices as having nowhere to

go but up. All-cash offers give buyers a competitive edge on rival offers – even higher ones – that are dependent on financing. Cash deals can close faster and are less likely to fall through.

“You have to have cash to be able to close quickly and have negotiating power. Cash is king,” says Tanya Marchiol, president of Phoenix-based Team Investments, which buys about 70 properties a month with cash it raises from investors. “We do want to flip it or generate cash flow (through renting it out). Now is the time to buy for cash flow. We know the market is going to rebound.”

Some investors say the current real estate market is an ideal time to buy because homes are so low priced, they are bound to hold their value.

That’s the philosophy of Jim McClelland of Tinley Park, 111.

He is buying about 120 to 150 entrylevel homes in the Chicago area this year and owns a total of about 300 properties.

He says now is a good time to buy because properties going into foreclosure are no longer just one-bedroom, fixer-uppers but nicer, split-level brick homes with more bedrooms that will probably appreciate to a higher value.

That’s because so many prime-rate borrowers who bought more expensive homes have gone into foreclosure.

He puts about $60,000 into upgrading a property, then rents it out.

“Do I think this year will be a better time to invest than in 2009? Yes,” McClelland says. “There have always been foreclosures. The difference now is you get a better home for the same kind of money. You’re sitting on better inventory. People get into real estate for financial independence. It’s not a quick fix. It appreciates. It doesn’t happen overnight.”

By Stephanie Armour USA TODAY

Friday, March 12, 2010

China Housing Market Booming

China's housing prices hit new high in February



China's property market grew at the fastest pace in 20 months in February, with housing prices rising at a double digit rate, despite the government's cooling-down moves, according to data released Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).



Housing prices in China's 70 large and medium-sized cities increased 10.7 percent in February from a year earlier, and were up 0.9 percent compared to the previous month, said the NBS.



Prices of new homes in February rose 13 percent year on year, up 1.3 percent from January, and were mainly pushed up by soaring home prices in Hainan Province as the state government decided to build the island into an international tourist resort in December.



Haikou, capital city of Hainan, ranked first among other major cities in new home price growth, which soared 58.4 percent year on year in February. Sanya, the second largest city in Hainan, saw its new home prices up 56.1 percent.



Prices of second-hand homes climbed 8.5 percent in February from the same time last year, up 0.5 percent from the previous month, according to the NBS.



Sanya topped other cities in second-hand home prices, with a rise of 42.2 percent in February year on year, and was followed by Haikou, with a 41.7-percent-growth, according to the NBS.



The figures were announced during the annual session of the National People's Congress (NPC), the top legislature, when Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao reiterated determination to curb the excessive growth of home prices in major cities and satisfy people's basic need for housing.



China's central and local governments rolled out a series of measures to dampen the overheated property market at the end of last year, including reimposing a sales tax on homes sold within five years of their purchase and raising the down payment requirement for families buying a second house or more with bank loans.



In another move to cool the property market, the People's Bank of China, the central bank, raised the deposit reserve requirement ratio in January, and in February for the second time.

The Wealthy are Coming Back

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Wealth rebuilding bodes well for luxury market

Posted: 11 Mar 2010 07:04 AM PST

U.S. Millionaires' Ranks jumped 16 Percent in 2009, Study Says

"The millionaires’'club in the U.S. grew by 16 percent in 2009, following a 27 percent decline in 2008," according to a new Spectrem report. Affluent households -- those with net assets of $500,000 or more -- increased 12 percent to 12.7 million. At the same time, the number of households with a net worth of over $5 million rose 17 percent to 980,000. Finally, the magazine reports, "The average age of a so-called affluent investor is 58, compared with 62 for a millionaire and 67 for an investor with more than $5 million." Value of a household’s primary residence is not included in the calculation.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Resort Sells Out in Six Weeks

Resort sells out in six weeks
Resort sells out in six weeks

Alpine Homes International, Savills’s ski property partner has sold its 14 unit ski resort in Austria within six weeks of launch.

The speed of sale is reminiscent of the good old days of 2006 and 2007 says Managing Director Jeremy Rollason:

“At the peak of the market we were selling this many properties every month. It’s unusual for this market. It’s nice to put all the ingredients together and have this level of success”.

He attributes the success to a time and energy invested in finding the right product.

“We spent a long time planning the project and ripped up the original designs. We eventually went for modern interiors with more traditional exteriors which appeals to the British market. The fact that is was ski-in, ski-out also made a big difference.”

The price of the development and strong rental potential also played a part in the sales success. “Prices started at €196,000 for 2 bed apartments. At 70% loan-to-value and with gross rental yields of around 6%, the properties wash their face in terms of the mortgage and running costs. It was a nine out of ten product”.

So what would make a ten out of ten product? “Cutting the price by 50%”, jokes Rollason. It seems nine out of ten is the best most of us can hope for in this market.

You can view the development here.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

China Overtakes US in Global Property Investments

China overtakes U.S. in attracting most property investment



China overtook the U.S. as the world’s biggest property investment market last year and will probably keep the lead in 2010 on economic growth and a lower reliance on debt, Cushman & Wakefield LLP said.



Real estate investment in China more than doubled to $156.2 billion last year, while the total for the U.S. slumped 64 percent to $38.3 billion, the New York-based broker said in a report today. Excluding residential investments, the U.S. came third after China and the U.K.



“China will continue to see vibrant investment activity, despite recent government measures to cool down the property markets,” Donald Han, Cushman & Wakefield’s managing director for Asia-Pacific capital markets, said in the report.



China’s economy expanded at an annual rate of 10.7 percent in the final quarter of last year, boosted by Premier Wen Jiabao’s $586 billion stimulus package. The U.S. property market is being hurt by high levels of unpaid debt and a reluctance among banks to lend as they clean up their balance sheets, Cushman & Wakefield said.



China is taking steps to rein in the real estate market as price increases accelerate. The government in January re-imposed a sales tax on homes sold within five years of their purchase and the People’s Bank of China raised the proportion of deposits banks must set aside as reserves to reduce lending. Property prices in December rose at the fastest pace in 18 months.



Eight of the world’s 20 largest property markets last year were located in the Asia Pacific region, with Hong Kong, Taiwan and New Zealand registering gains in investment, according to the report. Cushman & Wakefield is the world’s largest closely held commercial real estate adviser.



Japanese Revival



Japan will see a revival after investment fell 48 percent to $19 billion last year, it said. Some distressed properties are selling for less than their construction costs and average rental incomes tend to be higher than financing costs, making the market “compelling,” Han said.



U.S. property investment will rise 50 percent this year on falling prices and an increase in distress sales.



“Large pools of frustrated capital,” may be attracted to well-located properties with financially secure tenants, boosting prices, said Frank Liantonio, executive vice president of U.S. capital markets for Cushman & Wakefield. “Distressed sellers begin to deal with a mounting volume of properties,” he said.



In Europe, most investors are focusing on the largest, most active markets such as the U.K., France and Germany. Investment in the continent will probably rise 44 percent this year to $152 billion, the firm predicts.



U.K. prices were among the quickest to bottom out after the global financial crisis began, with values falling 44 percent in the two years to July 31. The slide in prices and the pound’s weakness helped revive investment and lift property prices.



(Source: Bloomberg, 2010-3-2)

Boomers and Second Homes

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Boomers Ready for Retirement Housing

Posted: 05 Mar 2010 02:20 PM PST

According to John Migliaccio, director of research for MetLife’s Mature Market organization, more than 78 million baby boomers, born between 1946 to 1964, will reach age 55 over the next 10 years.

He and other trend spotters believe this dominant group of home owners will lead the industry out of its slump.

Baby Boomers approaching retirement continue to be interested in buying into active-adult communities, but their moves are slowed due to a decline in the value of both their retirement savings and their current homes. To encourage seniors to find a way, 51 percent of builders of active-adult housing cut prices in the third quarter of 2009 – often as much as 25 percent or more – according to a survey by the National Association of Home Builders.

Practitioners point out that new isn’t always best. Buying an existing home in an active adult community can be a particularly good deal because these communities have extensive amenities, including golf courses and gyms. Some new construction projects on which builders have trimmed prices are not nearly as well equipped.

Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Joe Gose (02/25/2010)

Monday, March 8, 2010

Best Second Home Markets in US

Brits Staying Closer to Home for Second Home Purchases



Brits reject far-flung destinations in flight to safety‏

Brits reject far-flung destinations in flight to safety‏

British overseas home buyers are reverting back to more traditional second home destinations, according to a survey of 1200 second home owners by Savills International.

During the overseas property boom, the proportion of Brits buying outside of Western Europe grew significantly as buyers became motivated by the potential for capital gains.  However, since the market turned in September 2008, buyers have returned to the traditional favourites of Spain, France, Portugal and Italy.

“In 2010, the overseas second home market will be characterised by cash-rich, lifestyle buyers benefiting from lower prices in traditional, established holiday home hotspots.” Says Charles Weston-Baker, Head of Savills International.

The survey data also confirms that 2009 was one of the worst years for the industry.  70% of respondents invested in overseas property between 2003 and 2008 but just 2% had in 2009.

Rebecca Gill, research analyst at Savills International comments. “Whilst UK overseas home ownership has doubled since 2001 recent global recessionary trends have seen take-up levels dramatically slow. Factors such as fewer overseas holidays, reduced leisure spend capacity and financing availability, unfavourable exchange rates and declining house prices have impacted second home purchasing activity.”

20% of owners plan more purchases


The positive news is that a fifth of respondents said they are considering or planning additional holiday home purchases in the future.  The top ten destinations being considered were France, Spain, Portugal, the US, Italy, Greece, Cyprus, Morocco, Brazil and Turkey.

However, further property price falls, better mortgage availability and a strengthening of sterling against the Euro are all necessary conditions before we see the market return to anywhere near the transaction volumes of 2007.

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